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Παρασκευή 22 Ιουνίου 2012

Greek Crises, Greek Resilience (By ARISTOTLE TZIAMPIRIS)


Daniel Haskett
ATHENS — Greece is once again at a crossroads, being at the very center of the world’s attention and facing unprecedented scrutiny. Oddly, this situation fits well with the national self-understanding that accords our country (not entirely unjustly) an outsize role in European intellectual and political history. But the fact remains that Greek society has entered a liminal period in which political parties, economic practices and diplomatic
certainties will slowly be overturned.

In what sounds like a cliché, the key to future developments is held by the youth of Greece. About half of them are unemployed, many opted to vote for radical left parties in the recent election and none partook in the sins of the past. At my university, class attendance rose precipitously and across the board once the economic crisis erupted. College students instinctively and immediately understood that after graduation they would be facing a new reality where political or family connections could not ensure well-paying public-sector jobs. In fact, such employment opportunities are now, for all practical purposes, non-existent.
Unfortunately, being studious and excelling in academics is not enough to secure a prosperous future. My best students are not even entertaining thoughts of staying in Greece. Simply put, they all want to go abroad. What is most interesting is that the first choice of the very best is not Germany or Britain but almost always the United States. This attests not only to the undiminished attraction of the American system but also to a sea-change in popular attitudes toward the United States.
For the first time in living memory, numerous (and at times daily) mass demonstrations in the center of Athens, where I live, had no anti-American content, nor did they conclude in front of the U.S. Embassy according to a long established “protocol.” Targets included the German chancellor, Angela Merkel, corrupt national politicians and especially the “Troika” (representatives of the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European Commission), but never the Obama administration. Although it may be premature to declare anti-Americanism in Greece a thing of the past, the fact remains that Greek society has been appreciative of America’s overall support.
It is now almost an article of faith that the solution to Greece’s sovereign debt crisis essentially lies in Berlin. However, Washington can also decisively address some potential geopolitical and geo-economic perils. For example, through its regional military presence and influence with NATO Washington can help ensure that Athens will not have to face any additional challenges by various neighboring states.
For example, the last thing needed right now are more mock dogfights over the Aegean Sea between Greek and Turkish F-16 warplanes, tensions over Cyprus and disputes about potential energy-related routes and rights in the eastern Mediterranean.
At the same time, third countries such as Russia can be effectively discouraged from efforts to cheaply acquire strategic aspects of the Greek economy (Gazprom, for example, is interested in acquiring a stake in Greece’s natural gas company) and thus exploiting the weakness of a country that is a full member of NATO, the E.U. and the euro zone. From a U.S. perspective, policies aiming to assist Greece would utilize existing military and diplomatic assets, cost next to nothing to U.S. taxpayers and, most significantly, contribute to regional stability.
Ultimately, though, there is only so much that international actors can or should do to assist Greece. Long-lasting solutions to the myriad examples of corruption and inefficiencies that have been so effectively exposed by the world’s media can only emerge from within our society. On this front one can be guardedly optimistic. The economic crisis has been condensing political time. Even if the new coalition government proves relatively short-lived, the passing of structural reforms and launch of strategic investments such as the E.U.-supported Helios solar project are now possible.
Although a national outcry against further austerity measures does exist, it is coupled by an equally vehement demand to end past practices. It is simply unacceptable to slash unemployment benefits but tolerate tax evasion, closed shops and waste. Recently, I have even witnessed students reminding others that smoking is forbidden upon the university’s premises (Greece has notoriously failed — so far — to successfully implement a nonsmoking ban).
At the same time, new politicians are entering the scene while some of the parties that produced the crisis are in terminal decline. We are thus about to experience a society with new expectations, new demands and new leaders.
Finally, since we Greeks place so much emphasis on our historical legacy, it is fair to ask if history offers any perspective on the country’s current predicament. The modern Hellenic state has a proven track record of overcoming much more serious crises. Consider that in the 20th century alone, Greece confronted two Balkan Wars, two World Wars, the 1923 mass population exchange with Turkey, fascist and Nazi occupations that included a deadly famine and the annihilation of its Jewish community, a disastrous civil war, mass immigration abroad, numerous coup d’états, several major dictatorships, the 1974 Cyprus events and near-military confrontations with Turkey on various occasions.
Thus, from a historical viewpoint, the current crisis is neither unprecedented, nor even close to being the worst. It is worth keeping in mind that after every catastrophic phase, after every setback, Greece managed to survive, recover and even prosper. The resilience and adaptability of the Greek people are not to be underestimated. A new Greece will no doubt emerge. But we are not quite there yet. 

Aristotle Tziampiris is associate professor of international relations at the University of Piraeus.